PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeZohran Mamdani 32%+9.5%In testa tra 22 esiti
Qualita del mercato
80 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
768,1 €
Liquidità
203,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
31.0% / 32.0%
Spread
3.2%
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
+12.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
26 mag 26, 20:2831 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Zohran Mamdani32%
Confronta le piattaforme· Zohran Mamdani
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto71% di corrispondenza · verificato | Alta | 28% | 0pt | 20K € | 325,3K € | 28 minuti fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketQuesta pagina | Alta | 32% | +4pt | 768,1 € | 203,9K € | 8 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets71% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 13% | -15pt | — | — | 28 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
3.0%5m
+3.0%28%
-1.0%18%
17%
+22 altri esiti
89 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale583,5K €
Volume 24h20K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
5m
-0.8%30.9%
-0.1%13%
+0.9%12.9%
+46 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità207 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$8742 lug21g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.