Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeZohran Mamdani 26%-0.3ptIn testa tra 50 esiti
Previsori
280
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto30 nov 25, 19:39 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
Manifold MarketsWho will be TIME Magazine's 2027 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegole
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 26%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 24%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 27%
