Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
IA3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeExactly one person 51.6%In testa tra 7 esiti
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multiple choice
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto11 dic 25, 07:48 UTC11 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.
- If there are multiple versions of the cover, an appearance on any one version of the cover is sufficient for YES.
- A straightforward non-photographic depiction (painting, caricature, AI-generated image, etc) is sufficient for YES if it's clear to me from the depiction itself who (or what) is being depicted.
- Abstract artistic representations won't qualify as an appearance of any real thing, but can be submitted as explicit answers.
- For example, a glowing floating brain with circuit traces probably qualifies for YES on "[an abstract representation of Artificial Intelligence]".
- For these, my interpretation of the image will be influenced by the headline and article contents.
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]?
- Manifold Markets quota Exactly one person al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]?
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] dovrebbe risolversi il 11 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.