Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 95.7%
Previsori
39
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto14 mar 23, 04:34 UTC1 gen 43, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketNcaafheisman 26
Robinhood (Rothera)The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
KalshiRegole
Person of the Year (called Man of the Year or Woman of the Year until 1999) is an annual issue of the United States news magazine and website Time featuring a person, a group, an idea, or an object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year".
- https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_Person_of_the_Year
- This market resolves to YES if Eliezer wins the prize at or before the 2042 edition.
- Other markets
Mercati aperti
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.5pt11.8%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 360,3K €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+1.0pt15%
- AMAN+1.0pt11%
- CCAR-2.0pt10%
+28 altri esiti
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-2.0pt63.1%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.7%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.1pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-9.0pt76%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.5pt60%
+28 altri esiti
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,2K €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- BTS+2.0pt75%
- LISA+5.0pt11.7%
- BLACKPINK5.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 37,4K €
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best R&B
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042??
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2043.
- Come viene liquidato Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Person of the Year (called Man of the Year or Woman of the Year until 1999) is an annual issue of the United States news magazine and website Time featuring a person, a group, an idea, or an object that "for better or for worse ... has done the most to influence the events of the year".