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Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?

IntrattenimentoYearly7m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYC

Previsione della comunità attuale

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 99%

In testa tra 11 esiti

Previsori

38

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 minuti fa

14 gen 26, 16:1630 gen 27, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie99%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”

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Regole

Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”