Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 100%In testa tra 11 esiti
Previsori
49
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto14 gen 26, 16:16 UTC30 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
- Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
- If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
- In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 63,1K €
POLYMARKET# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?
- 72–73M+62.5pt100%
- <70M-1.6pt0%
- 70–71M-23.9pt0%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+33.0pt44.9%
- Crew Girl: Season 134.8%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams9.3%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 61,7K €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+6.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+28.0pt97%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 141,9K €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-3.0pt90%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 314K €
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+10.5pt70.3%
- 940 - 950m-7.0pt26.7%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 altri esiti
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- Next James Bond actor?
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- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota The Super Mario Galaxy Movie al 100% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026??
- Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria