Which lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
One-OffIATecnologia28gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGoogle 71.8%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+55.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto30 set 26, 17:19 UTC1 nov 26, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will have the top model on arena.ai Agent Arena accessible through a <$20/mo subscription on November 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
PolymarketTop coding AI this month (Arena.ai)
KalshiRegole
Which organization will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard (formerly LMArena) at the end of October 2026?
- Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text, in its default view as the site displays it.
- How it resolves:
- Resolves to the organization credited with the model in the #1 position (highest displayed score) as of 11:59pm Pacific Time, October 31, 2026.
- I will check the live page on Nov 1 and use an archive.org snapshot from Oct 31/Nov 1 if there is any dispute.
- The organization is the one arena.ai lists for the model.