KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeClaude 31%-5.0%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,9 €
Liquidità
425,6 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
27.0% / 31.0%
Spread
14.8%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
10 feb 26, 1:001 gen 27, 15:00
Trend
Esito scelto
Claude31%
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
2.0%6m
+2.0%70%
-7.0%23%
+0.3%6%
+29 altri esiti
80 • Alta qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale67K €
Volume 24h984 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Mercati Correlati
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
5,6K €Google: 14.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
1,9K €Sì: 6%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
479,3 €Sì: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Best AI at the end of 2026?
439,2 €Claude: 67%KALSHI
KALSHIIn 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
216,5 €Sì: 19.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto News
EU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto News
JPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News
OpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.News
OpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph
Nvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto NewsRegole
If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.