Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBefore Nov 6, 2026 34%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+5.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 26, 00:34 UTC13 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI release a competitor to GitHub in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a model called GPT-5o in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a frontier model with a 5:1 or better abstention to hallucination ratio on SimpleQA?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxgpt/chatgpt-release-date/kxgpt-astra61
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before X date, then that answer resolves to Yes.