PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 92.1%
Qualita del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
53,5 €
Liquidità
4,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoComments
2
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
29 gen 26, 20:3831 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
- A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 255,6K €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 143,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 130,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,8 Mln €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 92% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026??
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.