Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeYouTube 51.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto28 lug 23, 05:35 UTC1 gen 31, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
PolymarketSpotify monthly active users in Q3
KalshiRegole
I will use this wikipedia entry (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_social_platforms_with_at_least_100_million_active_users) to check (then make sure the sources are reliable).
- I don't consider all of these social networks, but I want to have a simple method of verifying it.