Will Mastodon have more Monthly Active Users than Twitter in 2030?
MonthlyTecnologiaSocietà e cultura4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82%
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Aggiornato 34 minuti fa
25 nov 22, 09:28 UTC1 gen 31, 22:59 UTC
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This market resolves to YES if:
- Officially reported (or best available estimate) of Monthly Active Users for any part of 2030 are higher for Mastodon than Twitter.
- Twitter doesn't exist in 2030 but Mastodon does and has at least 2 million active monthly users* at any point in 2030.
- And NO in every other case.
- *The number reported by them in November 2022.
- If they don't reach at least that in 2030 and Twitter doesn't exist then effectively they have both failed as far as this question is concerned.