Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.1%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 26, 22:46 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bluesky exceed 50 million monthly active users before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
KalshiLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiWhich of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if Claude (by Anthropic) reaches or exceeds ChatGPT's monthly active users at any point before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on publicly reported figures from Anthropic and OpenAI, or credible third-party sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or The Verge.
- As of April 2026, ChatGPT has ~900M weekly active users vs Claude's ~18.9M monthly active users.
