PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 82.2%+0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
234,7 €
Liquidità
897,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
11.0% / 24.0%
Spread
13.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
5
Variazione 7g
-4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
10 lug 26, 17:32 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketWill Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
PolymarketWill 1mon (Max) wear a dress in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill I wear a skirt before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
PolymarketWill it be normal for boys 13 to 18 (cisgender) to wear skirts, crop tops, or dresses by 2030
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 4+6.4pt98%
- September 11+6.2pt98%
- September 18+4.5pt98%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 616,1K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.7pt49.6%
- October 31+11.0pt32%
- September 30+4.0pt13.6%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-0.7pt54.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu30.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt9.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- September 30+9.5pt95%
- September 25+10.5pt93%
- September 18+21.5pt92%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 82% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026??
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.