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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Middle East
  3. Iran leadership change by...?
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

0.6% (24h)One-OffMiddle East6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 30%+1.0%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

100 / 100

Alta qualità
Volume 24h

50,7K €

Liquidità

135,9K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

4.9% / 5.0%

Spread

2.0%

Spread stretto
Variazione 7g

+0.3%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

9 mar 26, 2:5931 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
March 31
March 31
0%
March 13
March 13
0%
April 30
April 30
0%
May 31
May 31
0%

Esito scelto

December 3130%

Manifold MarketsDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Iran leadership change by...?

6m
Manifold Markets
March 13
0%
Manifold Markets
March 31
0%
Manifold Markets
April 30
0%

+7 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità28 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
Volume totale11,2K €
Volume 24h170,4 €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
  • An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Mercati Correlati

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

3,8 Mln €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

3,3 Mln €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1,2 Mln €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

18,4K €
Sì: 6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

2026 FIFA World Cup ⚽ | 🏆 Winner

12,5K €
Brazil: 7.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,663.61+1.88%EthereumETH$1,652.22+1.30%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.89%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.11%XRPXRP$1.12-0.32%BNBBNB$595.32+1.32%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
  • An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.