KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeAbove 60 9%-13.0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
35,3K €
Liquidità
76,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
57.1%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
17 lug 26, 15:0028 lug 26, 13:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Above 609%
Trend del volume
$40.2k17 lug10g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/27 - 8/2)
1,6K €Above 60: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 Mln €July 18: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
754,4K €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
543,5K €Sì: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
242,6K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 10%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
103,3K €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsPolymarket: Iran regime-fall odds dip to 9.5% despite escalation reportBlockchain.NewsPolymarket sees 55.5% odds for Iran blockade end by Aug. 31 after Trump jabBlockchain.News
US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRegole
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 40 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 50 from Jul 20, 2026 to Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.