PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeAugust 31 52%+2.0%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
202,4K €
Liquidità
214,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
7.1%
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
-8.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
15 lug 26, 19:5431 ago 26, 23:59
Trend
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
August 3152%
Grandi operazioni
$2.2k96.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoParz1vaIl’altro ieri
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoParz1vaIl’altro ieri$1.8k60.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoDitto321l’altro ieri
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoDitto321l’altro ieri$2.3k63.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoMEPPl’altro ieri
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? — NoMEPPl’altro ieri$4.5k92.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoMEPPl’altro ieri
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — NoMEPPl’altro ieri$3.9k90.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nopaddaa4 gg fa
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nopaddaa4 gg fa$1.6k87.6%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nozthunderfury4 gg fa
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? — Nozthunderfury4 gg fa$1.5k47.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoDitto3214 gg fa
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoDitto3214 gg fa$1.3k46.0%POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoMEPP4 gg fa
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? — NoMEPP4 gg faTrend del volume
$230.3k15 lug10g di dati24 lug
Mercati Correlati
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
1,1 Mln €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
248,9K €August 31: 55%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
152,6K €August 31: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
12,2K €Before Jan 1, 2027: 16%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,7K €Sì: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
2,9K €Before Oct 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%Blockchain.News
Polymarket sees 99.85% odds Israel–Iran ceasefire holds through July 18Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a continuous 14-day period during which the United States does not take a qualifying military action against Iran that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- The first day of the 14-day period will be the calendar date (ET) after the most recent qualifying military action (or the date of market creation, if no qualifying action has occurred).
- The period runs through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day.
- This market resolves to “Yes” if any such period is completed where the most recent qualifying military action occurred on or before the specified end date (ET).
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that directly impacts Iran.