Quando tornerà alla normalità il traffico nello Stretto di Hormuz?
1.0 pt (24h)One-OffMedio Oriente2m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2029 70%+1.0ptIn testa tra 12 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2029 70%+1.0ptQualità del mercato
≤74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
42,7K €
Open interest
6,7 Mln €
Open interest altoSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
17 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 gen 27, 14:59 UTC
Trend
Prima del 1 agosto 2026Persa
Prima del 15 agosto 2026Persa
Prima della chiusura: 1% ·
Prima del 1 settembre 2026Persa
Prima della chiusura: 1% ·
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027?
ForecastExWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before October 1, 2026?
ForecastExWhen will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
PolymarketWhen will the Danube River return to normal levels?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketRegole
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before April 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before October 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Aug 1, 2026
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Aug 15, 2026
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before September 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ... · 6. Never in 2026 19%