PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 45%-3.5%In testa tra 7 esiti
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
12K €
Liquidità
171,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
44.0% / 46.0%
Spread
4.5%
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
-5.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
8 lug 26, 18:5331 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
No Return to Normal Traffic in 202645%
Trend del volume
$13.7k8 lug19g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
2,3 Mln €July 18: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
754,4K €August 31: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
543,5K €Sì: 24%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
242,6K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Benjamin Netanyahu say during Sunday Morning Futures?
103,3K €Event does not qualify: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
35,3K €Above 60: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
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US freezes $131M in Iran-linked crypto as Middle East tensions riseCointelegraphRegole
This market will resolve according to the next month for which IMF Portwatch publishes a daily 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- The qualifying month will be the calendar month containing the date associated with the first qualifying data point published by IMF PortWatch.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date of the specified month, and no such value has been published.
- If data is published for December 31, 2026 and a qualifying data point has not been published for any month, this market will resolve to “No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026.” If no data has been published for December 31, 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.