Manifold MarketsSenza KYCPrevisione della comunità attuale1. April 30 0.9%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 giorni fa
Obsoleto5 apr 26, 20:431 gen 27, 0:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
1. April 301%
Mercati Correlati
Nothing Ever Happens: July
3,6K €Nothing: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
296,6 €Before August: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of July? [Polymarket]
263,7 €Sì: 49%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be a food shortage related to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz?
63,2 €Sì: 55.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 35 billion on June 30, 2026?
1,8 €Sì: 87.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
176K €December 31: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Hormuz vessel attack lifts oil as Polymarket puts July 15 normalcy at 29.5%Blockchain.News
Hormuz strike jolts Iran-entry market as Polymarket cuts Trump odds to 15%Blockchain.NewsHormuz ship hit lifts risk as Polymarket normal-traffic odds jump to 55%Blockchain.News
Inspection dispute cools US-Iran deal odds to 22.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
Ras Laffan blast spotlights Gulf shipping as Polymarket puts 20+ Hormuz at 99%Blockchain.News
Silver Price Prediction: Can the Metal Hold Above $60 as Supply Deficits Clash With Hawkish Fed Risks?Blockchain ReporterRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and the corresponding date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.