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  • Home
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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Middle East
  3. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

1.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
July 31
July 31 12%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualita del mercato

64 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

2,6K €

Liquidità

79K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 5.0%

Spread

25.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-3.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 minuti fa

16 apr 26, 23:5630 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
April 30
April 30
0%
May 31
May 31
0%

Esito scelto

July 3112%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue.
  • However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
  • The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Mercati Correlati

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December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

2,8 Mln €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1,2 Mln €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,652.06+2.46%EthereumETH$1,650.89+1.90%SolanaSOL$65.15+1.75%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.87%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$595.25+1.81%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue.
  • However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
  • The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.