Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 89.3%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto14 nov 23, 20:21 UTC1 gen 35, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will America receive more tourists from the Middle East in 2026 than in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US-Russia proxy conflict expand beyond Ukraine and the Middle East by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran sign a peace deal with the middle east countries
Manifold MarketsIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Lebanon on?
PolymarketRegole
Inspired by this article:
- https://en.majalla.com/node/302971/business-economy/lebanons-already-struggling-economy-cannot-survive-war-israel
- Resolves NO if, by the end of the current conflict, Lebanon either ceases to exist as a country, undergoes a significant revolution, or otherwise becomes unrecognizable in policy/government to its predecessor.
- For example:
- If Lebanon breaks into multiple different countries, this question resolves depending on whether Lebanon still exists as one of these countries.
- If a coup occurs, but the country doesn't change much as a result, this question resolves YES.