Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffTecnologiaSpaceGeopoliticaMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDoes not visit 65.3%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto2 ago 26, 17:20 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the month in 2026 in which Elon Musk physically visits a country in the Middle East or to “the named outcome”.
- Definition of “Visit”: Elon Musk must physically enter the territory of any Middle Eastern country.
- Definition of “Middle East”: the region is strictly defined as the sovereign territory or designated administrative zones of the following 17 countries/territories: Bahrain, Cyprus, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Palestine, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Turkiye, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- Exclusions: Remote or virtual appearances (such as his video-link address to the Tel Aviv Smart Mobility Summit in May 2026) do not qualify as a physical visit.
- Brief airport layovers where he does not leave the terminal will not count.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Does not visit al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026??
- Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria