Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
GeopoliticaOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 88.4%
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17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto3 nov 23, 19:40 UTC2 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurNuclear conflict in the world in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.
- Any country could be the progenitor as long as it's clearly mostly about the Israel-Hamas conflict or whatever larger conflict grows out of that.
- (e.g. Russia launching a missile at Ukraine does not count, but Russia launching a missile at Israel does count.)
Mercati aperti
Geopolitics
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- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
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- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
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- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
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- 35,3 Mln €
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- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
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- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
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- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028??
- Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Includes both offensive detonations and "tests" used to intimidate people.