FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 80%
No 80%Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
10
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
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PolymarketRegole
This event predicts whether any nuclear weapon explosive test will be conducted anywhere in the world between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be confirmations published by the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) Preparatory Commission.
- If the CTBTO confirms that at least one nuclear weapon explosive test occurred during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Suspected or alleged tests that are not confirmed by the CTBTO will not count.
- If evidence is ambiguous or confirmation is delayed, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations citing CTBTO or equivalent authoritative findings.