PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
John Brennan 21%-0.5ptIn testa tra 24 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤74 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,2K €
Liquidità
297,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.7 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
13
Variazione 7g
+1.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketWhich cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
PolymarketSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by which date?
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Manifold MarketsWill Caroline Ellison be arrested before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Who will be arrested in 2026? · John Brennan 26%
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.1pt100%
- $25M+3.5pt99%
- $50M+7.9pt99%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,4 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume totale
- 25,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 843,8K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.5%
- D-House, R-Senate36.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- Ken Paxton-2.0pt50.5%
- James Talarico+2.0pt49.5%
- Volume totale
- 9,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 402,7K €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-3.8pt56.8%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
- Naftali Bennett7.4%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
- Bobby Pulido+3.0pt58%
- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt42%
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 216,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Rhode Island Republican Governor nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Who will Trump mention during the RNC Midterm Convention?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket quota John Brennan al 21% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be arrested before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato Who will be arrested before 2027??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi.