KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeBarack Obama 6%+0.3%In testa tra 24 esiti
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,4K €
Liquidità
315,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
6.0% / 6.1%
Spread
1.7%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
23 lug 25, 14:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Barack Obama6%
Confronta le piattaforme· John Brennan
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 36% | +8pt | 1,4K € | 315,3K € | 26 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket76% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 28% | 0pt | 394,4 € | 196,9K € | 6 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
0.3%
-0.5%28%
26%
20%
+21 altri esiti
64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale196,2K €
Volume 24h394,4 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.6k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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If Gavin Newsom is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Clarification (9/25/25): The contract states that if an individual "surrenders at a police station or courthouse with their attorney" the payout criterion is satisfied.
- To be clear, voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement pursuant to an indictment without an arrest warrant is sufficient to resolve a market to Yes.
- If Lee Jun-seok is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Bill Clinton is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthony Fauci is arrested before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.