Will Eduardo Bolsonaro be arrested in 2026?
Politica USAOne-OffAmerica LatinaCriminalità e giustizia2m
FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificatiProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94%
No 94%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
851,6 €
Bassa liquiditàTrader
9
Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This event predicts whether Eduardo Bolsonaro will be arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, an “arrest” means physical detention by law enforcement authorities with the intent to hold him in custody (in Brazil or any other country).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official confirmation from competent law enforcement or judicial authorities (e.g., official statements, court records, or custody documentation).
- If Eduardo Bolsonaro is arrested (as defined above) during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Detentions during routine questioning at a border/airport, or other temporary holds that do not escalate into an arrest, will not qualify.
