KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Ashley Moody 89.1%-0.9pt
Qualità del mercato
85 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
9K €
Liquidità
435K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
9.6% / 11.0%
Spread
1.4 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
4 dic 24, 15:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+3.0pt77%
- New People (NL)-3.2pt19%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 27,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 191,9 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88.1%
- Republican Party-1.0pt11.9%
- Volume totale
- 28,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 728,5K €
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+2.0pt56%
- Ken Paxton-3.0pt44%
- Volume totale
- 11,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 609,2K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.4pt55.6%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt43.4%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027+1.0pt14%
- December-1.0pt5%
- September 30,+0.1pt1%
+2 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Florida Senate winner??
- Kalshi quota Ashley Moody al 89% al 18 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Florida Senate winner??
- Florida Senate winner? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Florida Senate winner??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Florida for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.