PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
October 4 97%+1.5ptIn testa tra 30 esiti
October 4 97%+1.5ptQualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
61,2K €
Liquidità
68K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
40.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 17:12 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Israel military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Iraq by which date?
PolymarketIsrael military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketWill both the House and Senate pass a resolution to limit military action in Iran?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU AI Act lead to an enforcement action against a frontier AI lab in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel takes a qualifying military action against Lebanon on the specified date Jerusalem time.
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel, that directly impacts Lebanon.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Munitions destroyed or intercepted before impact; Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
