PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 15 51.4%Corretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
29 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
369,2 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
11.0% / 99.0%
Spread
88.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
8 set 26, 18:49 UTC30 set 26, 20:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran target Jordan by which date?
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PolymarketWill Israel attack Iraq in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack Iraq in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Iraq.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran target Iraq by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 15 al 51% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Iran target Iraq by which date??
- Will Iran target Iraq by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Iran target Iraq by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Iraq through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).