PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
October 31 74%+14.0pt
Qualità del mercato
43 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1,2K €
Liquidità
434,7 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
33.0% / 39.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-24.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
9 set 26, 21:23 UTC31 ott 26, 20:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Mercati aperti
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+3 altri esiti
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+17 altri esiti
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+21 altri esiti
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- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 altri esiti
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- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
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- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Polymarket quota October 31 al 74% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Will Iran target Jordan by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.