Russia military action against EU country by which date?
0.5 pt (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 18%-0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
71 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
14,4K €
Liquidità
59,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
17.0% / 19.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
2
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
19 set 26, 00:37 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia takes a qualifying military action against an EU member state between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, that directly impacts an EU member state.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Russia.