PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 set 2026, 18:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 88%-1.1pt
Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,6K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
8.3% / 16.6%
Spread
8.3 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+4.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mar 26, 18:0531 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Joseph Aoun's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Joseph Aoun and the government of Lebanon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.7pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 180,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 altri esiti
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Next French Presidential Election
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31??
- Polymarket quota No al 88% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31??
- Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joseph Aoun ceases to be President of Lebanon for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).