Donald Trump annuncerà le sue dimissioni da Presidente? (Escluso il decesso)
1.0 pt (24h)One-OffPoliticaPolitica USA2m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029 · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Prezzo registrato
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029 25.5%In testa tra 3 esiti
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029 25.5%Qualità del mercato
81 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
4,6K €
Open interest
3,1 Mln USD
Open interest altoBid / Ask
— / —
Prima del 20 gennaio 2029Spread
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 20 minuti fa
12 gen 26, 22:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · Prima del 20 gennaio 2029
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If Donald Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBloomberg NewsNBC
- An announcement that the President will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. An acknowledgement by Donald Trump that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
Regole per ogni esito
- Before January 20, 2029
- If Donald Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If Donald Trump leaves office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
