Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMarch 13 0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
10 mar 26, 1:011 gen 27, 0:58
Trend
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
June 301%
Confronta le piattaforme· Dec 31
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Iran leadership change by which date?
0.8%5m
-2.5%37%
-5.0%21%
-1.0%12%
+7 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale18,4 Mln €
Volume 24h153,8K €
POLYMARKET
Disponibile anche su Futuur
Iran leadership change by which date?
5m
30%
5%
4%
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale355,1 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegole
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$3.0k38.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaI2 h fa
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by June 30, 2027? — YesParz1vaI2 h fa$4.1k93.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAll9 h fa
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by August 31? — NoMrNoItAll9 h fa$10.0k98.5%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdioieri
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nosharrdioieri$1.5k96.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90l’altro ieri
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — Nononkenny90l’altro ieri$2.9k73.0%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANl’altro ieri
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by December 31? — NoFATMANl’altro ieri$4.9k93.3%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooo5 gg fa
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoScottyNooo5 gg fa$2.2k94.9%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTism6 gg fa
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoRizzEmWithTheTism6 gg fa$6.3k96.4%POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoney10 gg fa
POLYMARKETIran leadership change by July 31? — NoStudentMoney10 gg faTrend del volume
$158 lug9g di dati26 lug
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.