Manifold MarketsSenza KYCPrevisione della comunità attualeMarch 13 0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 giorni fa
Obsoleto10 mar 26, 1:011 gen 27, 0:58
Trend
0%
0%
Esito scelto
June 308%
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Iran leadership change by...?
0.2%6m
+1.0%30%
+0.2%5%
0%
+3 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale15 Mln €
Volume 24h52,5K €
POLYMARKETRegole
Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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KALSHI
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Each answer will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, the answer will resolve to "No".
- Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
- An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.