Will a Muslim Majority Country Lose Its Majority Before 2040?
Medio OrienteOne-OffReligioneSocietà e culturaGeopolitica13aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 63%
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto3 mag 26, 11:30 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Criterion: If a country where the population is >50.0% Muslim as of May 03, 2026 is less than or equal to 50.0% Muslim before 2040, the market resolves YES.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islam_by_country#Countries Eligible Countries: Here are the countries that currently have a Muslim majority and to which the criterion applies: Maldives, Mauritania, Iran, Somalia, Afghanistan, Djibouti, Western Sahara, Algeria, Morocco, Comoros, Niger, Tajikistan, Tunisia, Palestine, Azerbaijan, Jordan, Senegal, Yemen, Libya, Mayotte, Pakistan, Gambia, Mali, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, Iraq, Turkmenistan, Kosovo, Turkey, Bangladesh, Egypt, Guinea, Uzbekistan, Indonesia, Syria, Oman, Brunei, Kyrgyzstan, Sierra Leone, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, Cocos (Keeling) Islands, Burkina Faso, Malaysia, Chad, Eritrea, Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina.
