Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
Middle EastOne-OffReligionBusiness & CorporateSociety & Culture3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.9%
Previsori
48
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto16 ott 25, 21:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
Manifold MarketsPope Leo XIV issues a document addressing birth control teaching by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Trump meet with Pope Leo in 2026?
PredictItRegole
In May 2025, Pope Leo XIV succeeded Pope Francis, becoming the first American pope in history.
- He has since spoken frequently about global issues, from immigration to the Israel–Palestine conflict, emphasizing compassion, fraternity, and solidarity in his apostolic exhortation Dilexi Te (October 2025), a 20,000-word document reaffirming gospel teachings on human dignity and mercy.
- He's also made some pop culture headlines.
- In June, Pope Leo stepped out into St Peter's Square wearing a Chicago White Sox baseball cap.
- Yesterday, a visitor to the Vatican yelled "Go Cubs!" from the crowd as Pope Leo drove by, and he clapped back "They lost!"
- Prediction markets (particularly Polymarket) have been in a news a lot in recent weeks as the ICE invested $2bln on a $9bln valuation, and Polymarket moves to expand into the US market for the first time.
Mercati aperti
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+10.5pt66%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 500,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 9,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt50.4%
- October 31-3.0pt27.8%
- September 30+1.0pt12.2%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 190,8K €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+5.5pt22%
- October 31+9.0pt18%
- September 30+3.9pt7%
+9 altri esiti
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027??
- Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In May 2025, Pope Leo XIV succeeded Pope Francis, becoming the first American pope in history.