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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

0.5% (24h)One-OffPoliticaElezioneSociety & Culture6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 12%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

19,2K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

10.0% / 13.0%

Spread

30.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 minuti fa

5 nov 25, 17:1031 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes12%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.