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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Politica
  3. Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?

One-OffPoliticaElezioneEurope6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 14%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

34,9 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

9.9% / 20.0%

Spread

102.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 minuti fa

3 gen 26, 15:001 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes14%

Regole

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.

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Regole

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
  • An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
  • This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
  • Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
  • Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.