KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 86%
Qualità del mercato
53 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
43 €
Liquidità
3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
9.2% / 14.0%
Spread
4.8 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
3 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Pierre Polievre out as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada by end of year
Manifold MarketsPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
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KalshiRegole
If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership.
- An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect.
- This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership.
- Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices.
- Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader??
- Kalshi quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader??
- Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Pierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.