Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
0.1 pt (24h)One-OffMiddle East3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94%
Qualità del mercato
77 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
139,7 €
Liquidità
179K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
5.7% / 6.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
8 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:government of the United Statesforeign ministry of the United Stateshead of state of the United Stateshead of government of United Statesgovernment and foreign ministry of IranThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCBBCNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026??
- Kalshi quota No al 94% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026??
- Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.