Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
0.4% (24h)One-OffMiddle East5m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSì 7%+0.4%
Qualita del mercato
91 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
1,1K €
Liquidità
182,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
6.8% / 6.9%
Spread
1.5%
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
8 gen 26, 15:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes7%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 93% | +86pt | 1,1K € | 182,6K € | 17 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket92% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 95% | +88pt | 187,6 € | 33K € | 17 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
5m
95%
5%
56 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale543,8K €
Volume 24h187,6 €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$1.7k93.6%KALSHINo4 gg fa
KALSHINo4 gg fa$6.8k94.5%KALSHINo4 gg fa
KALSHINo4 gg faTrend del volume
$1.3k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
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If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran.
- Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.