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Dati al 1 set 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
No 83.2%+1.5pt
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
28,6 €
Liquidità
2,5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
17
Variazione 7g
+9.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 25, 15:0131 dic 26, 0:00
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- September 30+7.5pt100%
- September 15+11.9pt100%
- September 9+18.4pt100%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 613,3K €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+4.3pt96%
- September 30-0.9pt84%
- September 2581%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- September 30-1.0pt96%
- October 31-1.4pt96%
- September 11+43.5pt91%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.1pt65.4%
- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,3 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
+8 altri esiti
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda Bencic
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 83% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET.