PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeAnthropic 86%
Qualita del mercato
79 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
786,8 €
Liquidità
20,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
85.0% / 86.0%
Spread
1.2%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+6.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
30 gen 26, 22:4531 dic 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Anthropic86%
Confronta le piattaforme· Anthropic
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 86% | +3pt | 786,8 € | 20,8K € | 8 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 83% | 0pt | 332,5 € | 68K € | 8 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets80% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 85% | +2pt | — | — | l’altro ieri | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
13a
+1.0%83%
20%
64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale275,4K €
Volume 24h332,5 €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
5m
+2.3%85.3%
-2.3%14.7%
Previsione della comunità71 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$8983 lug20g di dati22 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
3,5K €↑$1.15T: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
2,9K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIastral.sh acquisition market
569,2 €OpenAI/Astral publicly deprecates or archives any current Astral project (uv, ruff, ty): 13.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
359,8 €No IPO by December 31, 2026: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat Month in 2026 Will OpenAI IPO in?
306,8 €June 2026: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
167,9 €Earbuds/Headphones: 17%KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.