PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Anthropic 96%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
41,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
96.4% / 96.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
3
Variazione 7g
+1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
30 gen 26, 22:45 UTC31 dic 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Polymarketthird wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketLead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Anthropic è del 94%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 2 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm Anthropic 94% · 2 piattaforme · 2 pt di scarto tra venue
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Polymarket quota Anthropic al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Kalshi.