Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAnthropic 93.6%
Previsori
80
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 59 minuti fa
In ritardo6 dic 25, 22:24 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind voluntarily act in accordance with Trump’s executive order 14409 for all of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsRegole
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven.
- Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO.
- Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO.
- If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
