Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 20 lug 2026, 01:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeOpenAI 14.7%-2.3%
Previsori
71
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato l’altro ieri
Obsoleto6 dic 25, 22:2431 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
OpenAI15%
Confronta le piattaforme· Anthropic
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1a
86%
14%
79 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoLiquidità media
Volume totale205,1K €
Volume 24h786,7 €
POLYMARKET
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
13a
+1.0%83%
20%
64 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale275,4K €
Volume 24h332,4 €
KALSHIRegole
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven.
- Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO.
- Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO.
- If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$20010 lug10g di dati20 lug
Mercati Correlati
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10,3K €$1.25–$1.5T: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
OpenAI IPO by which date?
4K €December: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
3,9K €Before Oct 1, 2026: 22%KALSHI
KALSHI
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
3,6K €Before Sep 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
3,5K €↑$1.15T: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1,1K €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
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DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News
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NVIDIA Nemotron AI Challenge Offers Lessons on Improving Model ReasoningBlockchain.NewsRegole
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven.
- Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO.
- Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO.
- If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.