Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
3.0 pt (24h)ExchangeIATecnologiaOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate5m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeAnthropic + OpenAI 66%+0.0pt
Qualita del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,4 €
Liquidità
3,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
56.0% / 76.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+24.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
19 mag 26, 20:301 gen 27, 12:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Anthropic + OpenAI 66%
Trend del volume
$56 lug18g di dati28 lug
Mercati Correlati
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
59,8K €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4K €SpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
1,2K €↑$900B: 73%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
42,2 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
18,5 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Microsoft's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Microsoft" if Microsoft's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a private company completes an IPO or direct listing prior to the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.