Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
1.5 pt (24h)ExchangeIATecnologiaOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Microsoft 56%-1.5pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
42.0% / 46.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
19 mag 26, 20:30 UTC1 gen 27, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the New York Times (NYT) achieve a favorable outcome in its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "OpenAI + Anthropic" if the combined private market valuation of Anthropic and OpenAI is larger than Microsoft's market capitalization on December 31, 2026, or to "Microsoft" if Microsoft's market capitalization exceeds that combined valuation.
- NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day.
- If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027.
- If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available.
- If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing.
- If a private company completes an IPO or direct listing prior to the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day.
