KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2031 90%In testa tra 12 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,4K €
Liquidità
60,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
3 mar 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 31, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI achieve AGI?
KalshiA company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNFox BusinessMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressFinancial TimesCNBCYahoo FinanceMarketWatchAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
- For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
Mercati aperti
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 160-179+2.5pt25.5%
- 180-199+7.5pt25.5%
- 200-219+5.0pt17.9%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 446,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 138,2K €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-2.0pt77%
- Apple+2.3pt16%
- Alphabet6%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
- Deflation+44.0pt99%
- SNAP / Food Stamp+46.0pt99%
- Instacart+61.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA-1.1pt97%
- Apple+1.4pt3%
- Alphabet+0.1pt0%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+1.0pt8%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 36,1K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-19918.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt16.4%
- 200-219-1.0pt15.4%
+23 altri esiti
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will any company achieve AGI??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2031 al 90% al 11 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will any company achieve AGI??
- When will any company achieve AGI? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato When will any company achieve AGI??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.