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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Business & Corporate
  3. When will any company achieve AGI?
When will any company achieve AGI?

When will any company achieve AGI?

Business & CorporateIATecnologiaOne-Off19g
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jul 1, 2026
Before Jul 1, 2026 2%
In testa tra 13 esiti
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

274,4 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

3 mar 26, 15:001 lug 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Before Jul 1, 20262%

Regole

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
  • For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

165,2 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

69,3 €
Sì: 89.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

0 €
↑$42.5B: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

5,1K €
Sì: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by June 30?

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by June 30?

189,9 €
↓$18B: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,738.71+1.77%EthereumETH$1,655.93+1.16%SolanaSOL$65.05+0.83%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.02%BNBBNB$596.57+1.36%XRPXRP$1.12-0.16%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify.
  • For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.