KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2030 72%+7.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6K €
Liquidità
305,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.9 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
25 ago 25, 17:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI achieve "very high level of confidence" in their "Superalignment" solutions by 2027-07-06?
Manifold MarketsWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:OpenAI
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume totale
- 241,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 128K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 349,4K €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will OpenAI achieve AGI??
- Kalshi quota Before 2030 al 72% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will OpenAI achieve AGI??
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will OpenAI achieve AGI??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.