Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
North America 80.7%In testa tra 5 esiti
North America 80.7%Previsori
82
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto3 gen 24, 14:03 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
KalshiWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiWill AI achieve AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a company reach a 10 trillion dollar market cap before we achieve AGI
Manifold MarketsWill we achieve AGI before Democrats win their next trifecta?
Manifold MarketsWill humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This question is copy of the other question where the options are dependent on each other.
- In case company will be multinational, place of their HQ will be considered.
- If it will be research program or joint venture by multiple companies the majority state will be considered.
- Feel free to add other continents if you feel so.
- Criteria to be used for AGI will be the same as the one in the long bet: https://longbets.org/1/
- Duration will be extended as needed.
