Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 10:21 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
Anthropic 40.3%In testa tra 7 esiti
Anthropic 40.3%Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ago 24, 15:58 UTC31 dic 30, 18:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
Manifold MarketsWhen will any company achieve AGI?
KalshiWhat company will achieve the first successful air-launch to orbit rocket launch from the UK?
Manifold MarketsIf AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to the company which has created the AI model which triggered the resolution of the weak AGI question on Metaculus.
- This market will be extended until the weak AGI is achieved.
- If the model is a finetune, i will resolve to the creator of the base model.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/3479/?theme=dark)
