Base

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

3.0 pt (24h)1a

$500M-3.0pt39%

$1B38%

$2B38%

+7 altri esiti

Qualità media (63)Spread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale878,2K USD

Volume 24h5,8K USD

1 ora fa

POLYMARKET

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

5.5 pt (24h)1a

December 31, 2027+5.5pt46%

June 30, 202720%

December 31, 20265%

+3 altri esiti

Qualità media (56)Spread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità

Volume totale8,1 Mln USD

Volume 24h1,6K USD

1 ora fa

POLYMARKET

Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Nov 1 UTC?

5g

Sì11.7%

No88.3%

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Where will I live in October 2026?

5g

Menlo Park, CA72.2%

Stanford, CA5.3%

Berkeley, CA5.2%

+5 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità16 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

5 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?

2m

Sì80.3%

No19.7%

Previsione della comunità17 previsoriTipo: binary

13 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

1a

Sì5%

No95%

Previsione della comunità58 previsoriTipo: binary

6 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?

2m

70+100%

80+100%

90+100%

+7 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità28 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

9 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

2m

5–7 wins40.2%

8-9 wins30.2%

10-11 wins13.2%

+2 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità8 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

16 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]

3a

If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?79.6%

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?74.6%

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?63.9%

+3 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità74 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

2 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?

Before 203544.2%

2035 - 204524.1%

2045 - 206020.8%

+3 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità58 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What is the base of the next nice number?

4a

111 - 12029.4%

121 - 12522.3%

101 - 11014.1%

+6 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità11 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

17 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?

2m

United States11.7%

France5.5%

Canada4.5%

+4 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità19 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

3 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?

3a

2.00% to 2.75%21.8%

3.00% to 3.75%21.8%

4.00% to 4.75%16.5%

+4 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità4 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

13 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

Mauritius46.9%

United Kingdom25.7%

United States10%

+5 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

12 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

210028.5%

207521.7%

205014%

+9 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità32 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

13 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?

9a

Sì67.8%

No32.2%

Previsione della comunità15 previsoriTipo: binary

3 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?

OpenAI75.5%

Anthropic55%

Google (DeepMind)35%

+10 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità11 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

16 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

2m

Sì1.9%

No98.1%

Previsione della comunità49 previsoriTipo: binary

9 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]

2m

USA does not control whole of Greenland by EOY97%

Resolves 50% if the US owns <10sqkm of Greenland by EOY, otherwise, resolves to 5x the number of traders on this option.49%

Trump will say that he took control over Greenland, but Denmark will say no. As usual, Fox News will give airtime only to Trump’s speech.37.5%

+18 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità148 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

9 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a moon base by 2030?

3a

Sì10%

No90%

Previsione della comunità46 previsoriTipo: binary

7 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many people will attend Slutcon 2026?

2m

101-15093.8%

50-1003.4%

151-2001.2%

+7 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità55 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

5 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027

2m

4.00%43.2%

3.75%25.5%

4.25%19.2%

+7 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità9 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

7 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

2m

Neither by close date92%

China invades Taiwan first6%

U.S. invades/acquires Greenland first1.7%

+1 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità38 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

11 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

2a

Pete Buttigieg59.3%

Josh Shapiro59.1%

Raphael Warnock58.1%

+21 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità32 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

14 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

4a

Anthropic40.3%

OpenAI27.8%

Google13.8%

+4 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità17 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

16 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

1a

4.00%18%

4.25%17.1%

3.75%13%

+8 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità2 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

17 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

1a

5.4100%

5.5100%

5.6100%

+6 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità10 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

17 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Price of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026

2m

$12,000-$13,99932.2%

$14,000-$15,99918.1%

$10,000-$11,99916.9%

+3 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità10 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

18 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How much will GTA 6 cost? (USA, PlayStation 5, digital)

2m

($71, $91]96.8%

More than $911.9%

[$61, $71]1%

+1 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità79 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

14 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

2a

Any American receives it by end 2025100%

Any American receives it by end 2026100%

Limit set at or below 99th percentile wealth or income70.9%

+15 altri esiti

Previsione della comunità103 previsoriTipo: multiple choice

9 ore fa

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Asset Cripto Correlati

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Nov 1 UTC?

Where will I live in October 2026?

Will there be at least one Bank of England Base Rate increase before the end of 2026?

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 2000 by the end of 2027? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

How many Traders will my 2026 Spotify Market get?

How many regular-season wins will the New York Giants have in the 2026 NFL season under Jim Harbaugh?

Which job should I accept? [M$10,000 subsidy]

When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?

What is the base of the next nice number?

What countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2030?

Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?

What share of global energy will come from nuclear power?

Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?

If AI wipes out humanity, which organization(s) will be primarily responsible for the development of this AI?

Will Tesla (TSLA) stock price be above 1500 by the end of 2026? (Ark Invest price target - base case)

How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]

Will there be a moon base by 2030?

How many people will attend Slutcon 2026?

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2027

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

If X is the Democratic nominee for president in 2028, will they win the presidency?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

What will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?

Which Model numbers will OpenAI release as a flagship before adding a letter (e.g. ‘o’ in 4o, o1)

Price of Apple M5 Ultra Studio 512gb on Release in 2026

How much will GTA 6 cost? (USA, PlayStation 5, digital)

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")