Where will I live in October 2026?

baseOne-OffIA Politica Geopolitica2m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 20 lug 2026, 17:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

Berkeley, CA 15.3%+0.2%

In testa tra 8 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 giorni fa

Obsoleto

24 apr 26, 18:301 ott 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Berkeley, CA15%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Resolves to the city where I most sleep the most nights during the month of October.

The market resolves equally among tied cities.
For context, this definition would have resolved "Menlo Park, CA" (where my parents live) for the vast majority of my childhood, and "Stanford, CA" for most of my college months.
I strongly expect it to resolve "Berkeley, CA" for July and August 2026, where I have plans to sublet for my MIRI job.
This definition does not always align with where I actually live.
It would have resolved "Portland, OR" during July 2018 when I was at sleepaway camp, probably "St.

Trend del volume

$50

13 lug4g di dati20 lug

Mercati Correlati

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

0 €

~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026: 15%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1,1K €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]

8,8 €

Taken by force: 3.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

5,4K €

December 31, 2027: 66%

POLYMARKET

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

3,2K €

$500M: 64%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon?

0 €

Sì: 55%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,478.71+1.06%

EthereumETH$1,881.97+1.59%

SolanaSOL$75.01+1.70%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.64%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.15%

BNBBNB$571.27+1.17%

Notizie Correlate

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Morpho Launches Fixed-Rate Lending Protocol Midnight on BaseThe Defiant

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Morpho launches fixed-rate lending protocol Midnight on Base to expand onchain credit marketsThe Block

Regole

Resolves to the city where I most sleep the most nights during the month of October.

The market resolves equally among tied cities.
For context, this definition would have resolved "Menlo Park, CA" (where my parents live) for the vast majority of my childhood, and "Stanford, CA" for most of my college months.
I strongly expect it to resolve "Berkeley, CA" for July and August 2026, where I have plans to sublet for my MIRI job.
This definition does not always align with where I actually live.
It would have resolved "Portland, OR" during July 2018 when I was at sleepaway camp, probably "St.

Where will I live in October 2026?

baseOne-OffIA Politica Geopolitica2m

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti

Dati al 20 lug 2026, 17:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2

Previsione della comunità attuale

Berkeley, CA 15.3%+0.2%

In testa tra 8 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 giorni fa

Obsoleto

24 apr 26, 18:301 ott 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

Berkeley, CA15%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

Resolves to the city where I most sleep the most nights during the month of October.

The market resolves equally among tied cities.
For context, this definition would have resolved "Menlo Park, CA" (where my parents live) for the vast majority of my childhood, and "Stanford, CA" for most of my college months.
I strongly expect it to resolve "Berkeley, CA" for July and August 2026, where I have plans to sublet for my MIRI job.
This definition does not always align with where I actually live.
It would have resolved "Portland, OR" during July 2018 when I was at sleepaway camp, probably "St.

Trend del volume

$50

13 lug4g di dati20 lug

Mercati Correlati

What will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")

0 €

~50% or more of Americans receive it by end 2026: 15%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?

1,1K €

China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How will the U.S. take Greenland? [Ind MC]

8,8 €

Taken by force: 3.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

5,4K €

December 31, 2027: 66%

POLYMARKET

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

3,2K €

$500M: 64%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic win its lawsuit against the Pentagon?

0 €

Sì: 55%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,478.71+1.06%

EthereumETH$1,881.97+1.59%

SolanaSOL$75.01+1.70%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0734+5.64%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.15%

BNBBNB$571.27+1.17%

Notizie Correlate

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Morpho Launches Fixed-Rate Lending Protocol Midnight on BaseThe Defiant

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Morpho rolls out Midnight for fixed term lending on BaseCrypto News

Morpho launches fixed-rate lending protocol Midnight on Base to expand onchain credit marketsThe Block

Regole

Resolves to the city where I most sleep the most nights during the month of October.

The market resolves equally among tied cities.
For context, this definition would have resolved "Menlo Park, CA" (where my parents live) for the vast majority of my childhood, and "Stanford, CA" for most of my college months.
I strongly expect it to resolve "Berkeley, CA" for July and August 2026, where I have plans to sublet for my MIRI job.
This definition does not always align with where I actually live.
It would have resolved "Portland, OR" during July 2018 when I was at sleepaway camp, probably "St.